Sport Picks

Wales

Division 1 2015/2016

Aberdare Town

2 - 0

Risca United

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

53'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2015/2016 game between Aberdare Town and Risca United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberdare Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Aberdare Town

33%

Draws

27%

Risca United

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aberdare Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Aberdare Town come out ahead of Risca United on wins alone.
Win probability leans Aberdare Town's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 20%

Risca United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberdare Town	Risca United
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	8
Draws	4	9
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2016 Division 1

Aberdare Town vs Risca United

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sep 26, 2015 Division 1

Risca United vs Aberdare Town

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdare Town 40 / 100

Risca United 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberdare Town Risca United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Risca United conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Risca United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aberdare Town scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Risca United

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff Metropolitan University	30	19	5	6	63:26	62
2	Barry Town	30	16	10	4	62:33	58
3	Goytre AFC	30	17	5	8	72:36	56
4	Caerau Ely	30	15	5	10	59:43	50
5	Cambrian United	30	15	5	10	48:39	50
6	Taffs Well	30	14	5	11	57:51	47
7	Goytre Utd	30	13	4	13	45:47	43
8	Afan Lido	30	11	9	10	53:53	42
9	Ton Pentre	30	12	4	14	45:52	40
10	Risca United	30	12	3	15	48:48	39
11	Penybont	30	11	6	13	53:56	39
12	Monmouth	30	10	9	11	56:60	39
13	Briton Ferry	30	10	9	11	41:49	39
14	Aberdare Town	30	11	4	15	34:56	37
15	Aberbargoed Buds	30	8	3	19	42:63	27
16	Garden Village	30	1	4	25	27:93	7