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Aberdeen vs Dundee FC

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Murray S. In: Robertson F.
Out: Murray S.
42'
Olusanya T.
45'
Happe D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aberdeen
30%
Draws
33%
Dundee FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aberdeen lately — more wins on the board than Dundee FC.
  • Win probability leans Aberdeen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Aberdeen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundee FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 20%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Dundee FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Cup
Aberdeen vs Dundee FC
3:0
Aug 8, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
2:0
May 17, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Dundee FC
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nisbet K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ntelo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dundee FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 58 / 100
Dundee FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Dundee FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dundee FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aberdeen scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Aberdeen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Dundee FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 7

Dundee FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Stenhousemuir 1
Motherwell 0
Hearts 6
Inverness 2
Dunfermline 1
Ross County 2
Hibernian 1
Partick 0
Rangers 5
St. Mirren 1
Dundee Utd 0
Celtic 4
Kilmarnock 3
Ayr 2
Aberdeen 3
Dundee FC 0
Quarter-finals
Stenhousemuir 0
Hearts 3
Ross County 0
Hibernian 3
Rangers 3
Celtic 0
Kilmarnock 1
Aberdeen 2
Semi-finals
Hearts -
Hibernian -
Rangers -
Aberdeen -
Final
TBD -
TBD -