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Aberdeen vs Falkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen host Falkirk in the Premiership. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Aberdeen have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Falkirk's 1.48 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberdeen have won 2 to Falkirk's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.06, favoring Aberdeen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aberdeen
35%
Draws
20%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Falkirk haven't matched Aberdeen's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Aberdeen taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 20%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Falkirk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Falkirk
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Aberdeen
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Falkirk
0:1
Jul 4, 2018 Club Friendly
Aberdeen vs Falkirk
1:0
Sep 25, 2013 League Cup
Falkirk vs Aberdeen
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 85 / 100
Falkirk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aberdeen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aberdeen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Falkirk let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Falkirk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
03 Oct
Dunfermline
1 : 4
Aberdeen
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)