Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Aberdeen

1 - 0

Raith

Our Tip

Match Events

Milne J.

Assist: Polvara D.

27'

Gyamfi E.

46'

Sub

Gyamfi E. In: Frame M.

Out: Gyamfi E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Aberdeen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Aberdeen

Draws

Raith

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Aberdeen's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Raith have produced (1.38).
Win probability leans Aberdeen's way, sitting at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Aberdeen, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Aberdeen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 16%

Raith Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberdeen	Raith
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	13
Draws	3	4
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Scottish Cup

Aberdeen vs Raith

1:0

Jul 24, 2022 League Cup

Aberdeen vs Raith

3:0

Aug 15, 2021 League Cup

Raith vs Aberdeen

2:1

Jul 12, 2015 Club Friendly

Raith vs Aberdeen

0:2

Sep 22, 2010 League Cup

Aberdeen vs Raith

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Milne J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 84 / 100

Raith 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberdeen Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aberdeen scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Raith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Raith

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)

25 Jul

Aberdeen

3 : 0

Kelty Hearts

22 Jul

Queen of the South

1 : 4

Aberdeen

18 Jul

Aberdeen

2 : 1

Queen's Park

14 Jul

Brora Rangers

0 : 2

Aberdeen

11 Jul

Linfield

0 : 2

Aberdeen

Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)

24 Jul

Raith

0 : 1

Hearts

21 Jul

Raith

1 : 0

Peterhead

18 Jul

Hamilton

2 : 1

Raith

14 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Raith

11 Jul

Raith

3 : 1

Elgin City

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Rangers-

TBD-

Clyde-

TBD-

Annan-

Lossiemouth1

Formartine Utd2

Huntly1

Buckie Thistle3

Stranraer-

TBD-

Glenafton3

Invergordon2

Jeanfield Swifts0

Clydebank FC4

Newtongrange Star1

East Stirlingshire3

Boness Athletic2

Keith1

Linlithgow Rose2

Gala Fairydean Rovers1

TBD-

Queen's Park-

Dumbarton-

TBD-

Coldstream2

Tayport FC3

Auchinleck Talbot2

Cumnock Juniors1

Carluke Rovers FC0

Gretna 20084

TBD-

Celtic-

Kilmarnock-

TBD-

Dundee FC-

Airdrieonians-

TBD-

Hamilton-

East Fife-

TBD-

Arbroath-

Livingston-

TBD-

St. Mirren-

Camelon Juniors2

Albion Rovers1

Johnstone Burgh4

Threave Rovers0

Edinburgh City-

TBD-

Stirling University6

Burntisland Shipyard2

Elgin City-

TBD-

Darvel FC1

Deveronvale3

Forres Mechanics0

Caledonian Braves2

TBD-

Stirling-

Musselburgh2

Bonnyton Thistle0

TBD-

Forfar Athletic-

TBD-

Partick-

Wick Academy5

Rothes0

Cowdenbeath1

Benburb2

TBD-

Montrose-

Dunfermline-

TBD-

Queen of the South-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Kelty Hearts-

TBD-

Lochee United1

Brechin3

Civil Service Strollers2

Dundonald Bluebell3

St Johnstone-

TBD-

Cove Rangers-

Aberdeen-

TBD-

Raith-

TBD-

Alloa-

Motherwell-

TBD-

Boness United0

Banks O' Dee3

Brora Rangers0

Fraserburgh1

TBD-

Ross County-

Stenhousemuir-

TBD-

Clachnacuddin2

Kilwinning Rangers1

Inverurie Loco Works0

Sauchie2

Peterhead-

TBD-

Morton-

Hearts-

TBD-

Falkirk-

Ayr-

TBD-

Berwick0

Nairn County2

Turriff United2

Hill Of Beath1

TBD-

Dundee Utd-

Cumbernauld Colts4

Glasgow University0

Bonnyrigg Rose2

Broxburn Athletic1

Spartans-

TBD-

East Kilbride-

Tranent FC3

Pollok0

Strathspey Thistle1

Dundee North End2

TBD-

Inverness-

1/64-finals

Rangers-

TBD-

Clyde2

Annan3

Formartine Utd0

Buckie Thistle2

Stranraer4

Glenafton0

Clydebank FC3

East Stirlingshire1

Boness Athletic0

Linlithgow Rose2

TBD-

Queen's Park-

Dumbarton2

Tayport FC0

Auchinleck Talbot3

Gretna 20081

TBD-

Celtic-

Kilmarnock-

TBD-

Dundee FC-

Airdrieonians-

TBD-

Hamilton-

East Fife-

TBD-

Arbroath-

Livingston-

TBD-

St. Mirren-

Camelon Juniors1

Johnstone Burgh0

Edinburgh City1

Stirling University0

Elgin City2

Deveronvale1

Caledonian Braves3

Stirling4

Musselburgh1

Forfar Athletic2

TBD-

Partick-

Wick Academy1

Benburb2

TBD-

Montrose-

Dunfermline-

TBD-

Queen of the South-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Kelty Hearts-

TBD-

Brechin3

Dundonald Bluebell1

St Johnstone-

TBD-

Cove Rangers-

Aberdeen-

TBD-

Raith-

TBD-

Alloa-

Motherwell-

TBD-

Banks O' Dee4

Fraserburgh0

TBD-

Ross County-

Stenhousemuir-

TBD-

Clachnacuddin2

Sauchie0

Peterhead-

TBD-

Morton-

Hearts-

TBD-

Falkirk-

Ayr-

TBD-

Nairn County1

Turriff United2

TBD-

Dundee Utd-

Cumbernauld Colts0

Bonnyrigg Rose2

Spartans2

East Kilbride1

Tranent FC3

Dundee North End0

TBD-

Inverness-

1/32-finals

Rangers-

TBD-

Annan4

Buckie Thistle0

Stranraer2

Clydebank FC1

Linlithgow Rose1

Queen's Park3

Dumbarton0

Auchinleck Talbot4

TBD-

Celtic-

Kilmarnock-

TBD-

Dundee FC-

Airdrieonians4

Hamilton0

East Fife0

Arbroath2

Livingston-

TBD-

St. Mirren-

Camelon Juniors2

Edinburgh City1

Elgin City4

Stirling2

Forfar Athletic0

Partick2

Benburb0

Montrose3

Dunfermline2

Queen of the South1

TBD-

Hibernian-

Kelty Hearts2

Brechin0

St Johnstone1

Cove Rangers2

Aberdeen-

TBD-

Raith1

Alloa0

Motherwell-

TBD-

Banks O' Dee0

Ross County2

Stenhousemuir4

Clachnacuddin1

Peterhead2

Morton3

Hearts-

TBD-

Falkirk-

Ayr3

Turriff United0

TBD-

Dundee Utd-

Bonnyrigg Rose1

Spartans2

Tranent FC1

Inverness2

1/16-finals

Rangers5

Annan0

Stranraer2

Queen's Park1

Auchinleck Talbot0

Celtic2

Kilmarnock1

Dundee FC2

Airdrieonians4

Arbroath3

Livingston1

St. Mirren2

Camelon Juniors1

Elgin City3

Partick3

Montrose1

Dunfermline1

Hibernian0

Kelty Hearts2

Cove Rangers1

Aberdeen1

Raith0

Motherwell1

Ross County0

Stenhousemuir4

Morton0

Hearts1

Falkirk2

Ayr0

Dundee Utd2

Spartans1

Inverness0

1/8-finals

Rangers8

Queen's Park0

Celtic2

Dundee FC1

Airdrieonians1

St. Mirren2

Elgin City2

Partick3

Dunfermline2

Kelty Hearts0

Aberdeen2

Motherwell0

Stenhousemuir0

Falkirk2

Dundee Utd2

Spartans1

Quarter-finals

Rangers0

Celtic1

St. Mirren2

Partick1

Dunfermline3

Aberdeen0

Falkirk2

Dundee Utd1

Semi-finals

Celtic6

St. Mirren2

Dunfermline1

Falkirk0

Final

Celtic3

Dunfermline1