Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs St Johnstone

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen host St Johnstone in the Premiership. Little to choose between these two on current form. St Johnstone have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Aberdeen have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Aberdeen have won 2 to St Johnstone's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.06) back St Johnstone to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aberdeen
20%
Draws
29%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdeen haven't matched St Johnstone's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aberdeen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 20%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen St Johnstone
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Aberdeen
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Premiership
Aberdeen vs St Johnstone
1:1
Aug 5, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Aberdeen
1:2
May 4, 2024 Premiership
Aberdeen vs St Johnstone
1:0
Feb 28, 2024 Premiership
Aberdeen vs St Johnstone
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 36 / 100
St Johnstone 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aberdeen scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aberdeen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: St Johnstone has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS St Johnstone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
15 Aug
Aberdeen
3 : 0
Dundee FC
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St Johnstone

(Away)
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0
St Johnstone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Hibernian 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
9 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
10 Aberdeen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
11 Falkirk 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)