Sport Picks

Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Pittodrie Stadium

Match Events

16'

Fraser M.

42'

King R.

Assist: Devaney J.

46'

Sub

Morrison L. In: Milne J.

Out: Morrison L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen host St. Mirren in the Premiership 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Aberdeen at 1.38 goals for, 1.75 against; St. Mirren at 1.13 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Aberdeen have won 1 to St. Mirren's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.44, favoring St. Mirren. St. Mirren in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Aberdeen

17%

Draws

70%

St. Mirren

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

St. Mirren has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aberdeen.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for St. Mirren.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiership 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 16%

St. Mirren Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberdeen	St. Mirren
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	9	12
Draws	4	6
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premiership

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Apr 4, 2026 Premiership

St. Mirren vs Aberdeen

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Dec 3, 2025 Premiership

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

3:3

Oct 18, 2025 Premiership

St. Mirren vs Aberdeen

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

May 3, 2025 Premiership

St. Mirren vs Aberdeen

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer King R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Phillips K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 15 / 100

St. Mirren 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberdeen St. Mirren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

St. Mirren let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Aberdeen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

St. Mirren lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS St. Mirren

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Dundee Utd	38	10	15	13	49:60	45
8	Dundee FC	38	11	9	18	42:61	42
9	Aberdeen	38	11	7	20	40:55	40
10	Kilmarnock	38	10	10	18	50:68	40
11	St. Mirren	38	8	10	20	30:55	34
12	Livingston	38	2	15	21	40:75	21