Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Aberdeen Logo

Aberdeen

0 - 2
FT
St. Mirren Logo

St. Mirren

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Fraser M.
42' Event
King R.
Assist: Devaney J.
46'
Sub
Morrison L. In: Milne J.
Out: Morrison L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Mirren in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Mirren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aberdeen
20%
Draws
29%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aberdeen have won more games recently than St. Mirren.
  • Aberdeen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 68%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen St. Mirren
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs St. Mirren
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs St. Mirren
3:3
Oct 18, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
0:1
May 3, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer King R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phillips K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 86 / 100
St. Mirren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

St. Mirren let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aberdeen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS St. Mirren
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
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St. Mirren

(Away)
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
16 Aug
Rangers
5 : 1
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)