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Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Miller D.
47' Event
Ogilvie F.
Assist: Mclaughlin N.
80' Event
Stewart H.
Assist: Galloway B.

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 game between Aberdeen W and Hamilton W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberdeen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aberdeen W
15%
Draws
85%
Hamilton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aberdeen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hamilton W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 11%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen W Hamilton W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 23 25
Goals Scored 1.16 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.38 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:1
May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:3
Feb 1, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogilvie F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Hamilton W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen W 10 / 100
Hamilton W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen W Hamilton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Aberdeen W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Hamilton W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen W VS Hamilton W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
Page 1 of 7

Hamilton W

(Away)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)