Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen W vs Montrose W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Carter G.

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 game between Aberdeen W and Montrose W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montrose W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aberdeen W
15%
Draws
85%
Montrose W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdeen W haven't matched Montrose W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aberdeen W a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montrose W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen W Montrose W
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1.24 2.12
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Montrose W
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Aberdeen W
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Scottish Cup Women
Aberdeen W vs Montrose W
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Montrose W
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Aberdeen W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen W 65 / 100
Montrose W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen W Montrose W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Montrose W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Montrose W let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Aberdeen W scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen W VS Montrose W
0.38 Goals Scored 3
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
Page 1 of 7

Montrose W

(Away)
04 Oct
Montrose W
1 : 3
Glasgow City W
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2
Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1
Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0
Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)