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Aberdeen W vs Motherwell W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
Aberdeen W Logo

Aberdeen W

3 - 4
FT
Motherwell W Logo

Motherwell W

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Halliday K.
30' Event
Stewart H.
42' Event
Boyce C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 game between Aberdeen W and Motherwell W finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motherwell W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aberdeen W
15%
Draws
85%
Motherwell W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motherwell W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Motherwell W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Motherwell W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen W Motherwell W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W
1:0
May 17, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W
2:2
Mar 15, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Motherwell W
3:4
Jan 25, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Motherwell W
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galloway B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyce C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Halliday K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen W 10 / 100
Motherwell W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen W Motherwell W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motherwell W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Motherwell W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Aberdeen W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen W VS Motherwell W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell W

(Away)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)