Sport Picks

Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Balmoral Stadium

Aberdeen W

3 - 4

Motherwell W

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Halliday K.

30'

Stewart H.

42'

Boyce C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 game between Aberdeen W and Motherwell W finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motherwell W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Aberdeen W

33%

Draws

40%

Motherwell W

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Motherwell W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Motherwell W's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Aberdeen W have produced (1.5).
Motherwell W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%

Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberdeen W	Motherwell W
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	10	10
Draws	3	3
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	1.5	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 SWPL 1 Women

Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Mar 15, 2026 SWPL 1 Women

Aberdeen W vs Motherwell W

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

3:4

Jan 25, 2026 SWPL 1 Women

Aberdeen W vs Motherwell W

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Sep 28, 2025 SWPL 1 Women

Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Feb 16, 2025 SWPL 1 Women

Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Galloway B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyce C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Halliday K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen W 26 / 100

Motherwell W 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberdeen W Motherwell W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell W has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aberdeen W scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Aberdeen W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen W VS Motherwell W

1.5 Goals Scored 1.88

2.75 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Motherwell W	24	8	3	13	35:52	27
8	Montrose W	24	8	3	13	33:60	27
9	Aberdeen W	24	5	3	16	30:59	18
10	Hamilton W	24	0	2	22	10:104	2