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Aberdeen W vs St Johnstone W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Livie L.
Assist: Brady K.
32' Event
Finnie M.
Own Goal
48' Event
Burns M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aberdeen W
15%
Draws
85%
St Johnstone W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Johnstone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aberdeen W lately — more wins on the board than St Johnstone W.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Aberdeen W taking it.
  • Aberdeen W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St Johnstone W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aberdeen W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%
St Johnstone W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen W St Johnstone W
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 0
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Aberdeen W vs St Johnstone W
3:4
Mar 9, 2025 Scottish Cup Women
St Johnstone W vs Aberdeen W
1:4
Feb 28, 2016 SWPL Cup Women
Aberdeen W vs St Johnstone W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Walsh S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

St Johnstone W Compare

Top Goalscorer Livie L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burns M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen W 47 / 100
St Johnstone W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen W St Johnstone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone W let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Aberdeen W scored in 65% of their last 40 games.

Away concern: St Johnstone W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen W VS St Johnstone W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
Page 1 of 8

St Johnstone W

(Away)
09 Aug
Renfrew W
2 : 1
St Johnstone W
05 Aug
St Johnstone W
2 : 8
Montrose W
02 Aug
Aberdeen W
3 : 4
St Johnstone W
26 Jul
St Johnstone W
2 : 3
Livingston W
05 Oct
Rangers W
12 : 0
St Johnstone W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montrose W 4 4 0 0 25:3 12
2 Motherwell W 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Spartans W 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Hamilton W 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
5 Kilmarnock W 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
6 Boroughmuir W 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Livingston W 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
8 Gartcairn W 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
9 Dundee Utd W 4 2 0 2 7:6 5
10 Queen's Park W 4 1 0 3 7:9 4
11 Renfrew W 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
12 St Johnstone W 4 1 0 3 9:16 3
13 Aberdeen W 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Falkirk FCF W 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)