Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The FA Cup 2022/2023 game between Aberfan and Porthcawl Town finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberfan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aberfan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Aberfan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Aberfan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2022/2023 game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Aberfan Clean Sheet 14%
Porthcawl Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberfan | Porthcawl Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2022 FA Cup
Aberfan vs Porthcawl Town
2:0
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aberfan 84 / 100
Porthcawl Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aberfan Porthcawl Town
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ABE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porthcawl Town has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.
Aberfan scored in 75% of their last 4 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Porthcawl Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aberfan VS Porthcawl Town
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV1
Aber Valley5
TBD-
Barry Town-
Llandudno Amateurs1
Llanrug7
Llanidloes Town0
Gresford1
Felinheli2
Glannau1
Conwy Borough3
Kinmel Bay2
Risca United4
Aberbargoed Buds2
TBD-
Penybont-
Trearddur Bay1
Penycae FC5
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Abergavenny Town2
Treharris Athletic1
TBD-
Goytre Utd-
Afan Lido0
Hakin United1
TBD-
Taffs Well-
Llanfair United1
Llanuwchllyn2
TBD-
Holywell Town FC-
Cwmbran Celtic1
Ammanford Town0
TBD-
Llantwit Major-
Cefn Cribwr1
Newport City2
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Penydarren4
Ynyshir Albions0
TBD-
Pure Swansea-
Trethomas Bluebirds6
Ton Pentre0
TBD-
Haverfordwest-
Mochdre Sports0
Chirk AAA FC3
TBD-
TNS-
Llay Welfare3
Flint Mountain6
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Pencoed6
Brecon Corinthians2
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Treowen0
Cardiff Corries6
TBD-
Newtown-
Abermule2
Hawarden Rangers3
TBD-
Bala-
Penrhyncoch1
Caersws FC2
TBD-
Flint Town-
Penparcau FC1
Rhyl3
TBD-
Ruthin Town-
Chepstow Town1
Rockspur0
TBD-
Pontypridd United-
Porthmadog3
Mold Alexandra4
TBD-
Holyhead-
Croesyceiliog FC2
Ynysygerwn1
TBD-
Briton Ferry-
Llangefni1
Llandudno Albion2
TBD-
Buckley-
Machynlleth0
Prestatyn3
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Llansannan1
Glantraeth FC2
TBD-
Cefn Druids-
Canton5
West End1
Llanelli4
Goytre AFC0
Denbigh6
Llanrwst United1
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Bow Street6
Bangor 18765
TBD-
Colwyn Bay-
Baglan Dragons1
Pontardawe2
TBD-
Cambrian United-
Pill4
Caldicot0
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Talysarn Celts0
Queens Park1
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Aberfan2
Porthcawl Town0
Trefelin5
Llandrindod0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley1
Barry Town3
Llanrug0
Gresford3
Felinheli1
Conwy Borough4
Risca United1
Penybont5
Penycae FC1
Guilsfield4
Abergavenny Town1
Goytre Utd2
Hakin United4
Taffs Well1
Llanuwchllyn0
Holywell Town FC5
Cwmbran Celtic3
Llantwit Major2
Newport City0
Carmarthen Town2
Penydarren2
Pure Swansea1
Trethomas Bluebirds2
Haverfordwest1
Chirk AAA FC1
TNS2
Flint Mountain0
Caernarfon4
Pencoed0
Aberystwyth1
Cardiff Corries1
Newtown8
Hawarden Rangers1
Bala6
Caersws FC0
Flint Town1
Rhyl0
Ruthin Town2
Chepstow Town1
Pontypridd United2
Mold Alexandra3
Holyhead1
Croesyceiliog FC0
Briton Ferry5
Llandudno Albion0
Buckley3
Prestatyn2
Llandudno FC0
Glantraeth FC0
Cefn Druids5
Canton1
Llanelli2
Denbigh1
Connahs Q.5
Bow Street1
Colwyn Bay4
Pontardawe1
Cambrian United0
Pill2
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Queens Park0
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Aberfan1
Trefelin5
1/16-finals
Barry Town0
Gresford2
Conwy Borough0
Penybont3
Guilsfield6
Goytre Utd3
Hakin United1
Holywell Town FC5
Cwmbran Celtic4
Carmarthen Town3
Penydarren1
Trethomas Bluebirds0
TNS2
Caernarfon1
Aberystwyth1
Newtown3
Bala2
Flint Town0
Ruthin Town3
Pontypridd United4
Mold Alexandra0
Briton Ferry4
Buckley2
Prestatyn0
Cefn Druids3
Llanelli4
Connahs Q.4
Colwyn Bay0
Pontardawe3
Pill1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Trefelin1
1/8-finals
Gresford0
Penybont2
Guilsfield1
Holywell Town FC2
Cwmbran Celtic3
Penydarren2
TNS7
Newtown0
Bala2
Pontypridd United1
Briton Ferry3
Buckley2
Llanelli0
Connahs Q.2
Pontardawe1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Quarter-finals
Penybont2
Holywell Town FC1
Cwmbran Celtic1
TNS3
Bala2
Briton Ferry0
Connahs Q.5
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Semi-finals
Penybont0
TNS2
Bala3
Connahs Q.2
Final
TNS6
Bala0