Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024

Abergavenny Town

1 - 1

Goytre Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Cashman J.

66'

Thomas R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Abergavenny Town and Goytre Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Abergavenny Town

Draws

90%

Goytre Utd

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Goytre Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Goytre Utd come out ahead of Abergavenny Town on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Goytre Utd taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Abergavenny Town Clean Sheet 18%

Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Abergavenny Town	Goytre Utd
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	3	8
Draws	2	5
Losses	24	19
Goals Scored	0	1.63
Goals Conceded	0	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2024 Cymru South

Abergavenny Town vs Goytre Utd

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Nov 10, 2023 Cymru South

Goytre Utd vs Abergavenny Town

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Mar 11, 2023 Cymru South

Goytre Utd vs Abergavenny Town

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Oct 8, 2022 FA Cup

Abergavenny Town vs Goytre Utd

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

Aug 12, 2022 Cymru South

Abergavenny Town vs Goytre Utd

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abergavenny Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Cashman J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Goytre Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abergavenny Town 10 / 100

Goytre Utd 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Abergavenny Town Goytre Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOY Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre Utd let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Goytre Utd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Abergavenny Town scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Abergavenny Town VS Goytre Utd

0 Goals Scored 1.63

0 Goals Conceded 2.63

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Briton Ferry	30	23	2	5	87:39	71
2	Llanelli	30	20	4	6	80:40	64
3	Ammanford Town	30	17	6	7	60:42	57
4	Cambrian United	30	14	8	8	60:37	50
5	Caerau Ely	30	15	4	11	72:60	49
6	Carmarthen Town	30	12	11	7	50:39	47
7	Afan Lido	30	14	4	12	68:56	46
8	Goytre Utd	30	12	7	11	58:59	43
9	Cwmbran Celtic	30	12	6	12	69:64	42
10	Baglan Dragons	30	11	8	11	46:41	41
11	Trefelin	30	10	8	12	47:63	38
12	Llantwit Major	30	9	8	13	44:54	35
13	Taffs Well	30	8	8	14	44:49	32
14	Pontardawe	30	8	8	14	52:70	32
15	Abertillery Bluebirds	30	3	6	21	34:94	15
16	Abergavenny Town	30	2	2	26	20:84	8