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Abergavenny Town W vs Caldicot W

Wales Wales

Premier Women 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier Women 2017/2018 game between Abergavenny Town W and Caldicot W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Abergavenny Town W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Abergavenny Town W
39%
Draws
31%
Caldicot W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Caldicot W haven't matched Abergavenny Town W's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Abergavenny Town W Clean Sheet 10%
Caldicot W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abergavenny Town W Caldicot W
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 7 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 3.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2018 Premier Women
Caldicot W vs Abergavenny Town W
0:3
Oct 15, 2017 Premier Women
Abergavenny Town W vs Caldicot W
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abergavenny Town W 29 / 100
Caldicot W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abergavenny Town W Caldicot W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldicot W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Caldicot W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Abergavenny Town W found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Abergavenny Town W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff Met. Ladies W18152162:1247
2Swansea W18133264:1242
3Abergavenny Town W18122461:2538
4Cyncoed W18121542:2037
5Cardiff City W1883747:3227
6Port Talbot W1881939:4025
7Llandudno FC W18611129:4319
8Rhyl W18421226:6214
9Caernarfon Town W1810179:923
10Caldicot W18311423:641