Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Luiz Thiago
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America RN
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gama come out ahead of America RN on wins alone.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on America RN taking it.
- Gama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor America RN, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%
Gama Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America RN | Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
Gama vs America RN
4:2
Jul 19, 2026 Serie D
America RN vs Gama
1:0
May 25, 2016 Copa Betano do Brasil
America RN vs Gama
3:2
May 14, 2016 Copa Betano do Brasil
Gama vs America RN
1:0
Nov 4, 2008 Serie B
Gama vs America RN
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America RN Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Thiago
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Gama Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America RN 68 / 100
Gama 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America RN Gama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America RN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America RN scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: America RN stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Gama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
America RN VS Gama
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
America RN
(Home) 26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2 America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0 Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1 Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4 America RN
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0 Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1 Trem
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
29 May
America RN
1 : 0 Central SC
17 May
America RN
5 : 0 Laguna RN
Page 1 of 3
Gama
(Away) 30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0 ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0 Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1 Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2 America RN
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0 Gama
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1 Gama
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0 Gama
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0 Gama
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2 Gama
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
