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America RN vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Arena das Dunas
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America RN host Gama in the Serie D. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. America RN have averaged 2.13 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against Gama's 2 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, America RN have won 3 to Gama's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 25, 2016, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring Gama. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America RN
6%
Draws
4%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gama come out ahead of America RN on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on America RN taking it.
  • Regular Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%
Gama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RN Gama
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 22
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2016 Copa Betano do Brasil
America RN vs Gama
3:2
May 14, 2016 Copa Betano do Brasil
Gama vs America RN
1:0
Nov 4, 2008 Serie B
Gama vs America RN
2:2
Aug 1, 2008 Serie B
America RN vs Gama
2:0
Sep 23, 2006 Serie B
America RN vs Gama
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RN 95 / 100
Gama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RN Gama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: America RN stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

America RN's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gama conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

America RN VS Gama
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC-
Ferroviario-
America RN-
Gama-
Luverdense-
ABC-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
Iguatu-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Treze PB-
Uberlandia-
Portuguesa-
Sao Luiz-
CSA-
Cianorte-
ASA-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-