Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal vs Suchitepequez

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Municipal host Suchitepequez in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Municipal have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.62 conceded recently, against Suchitepequez's 1.29 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Municipal have won 3 to Suchitepequez's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2018, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.81) point toward Municipal. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Municipal
35%
Draws
20%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Municipal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Municipal a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Suchitepequez
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 23 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Municipal
0:0
Feb 25, 2018 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Nov 26, 2017 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Sep 24, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Municipal
1:1
May 20, 2017 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Suchitepequez
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 58 / 100
Suchitepequez 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suchitepequez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Municipal stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Municipal's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Suchitepequez lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS Suchitepequez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal

(Home)
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1
Municipal
26 Aug
Municipal
1 : 1
Motagua
Page 1 of 8

Suchitepequez

(Away)
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
29 Aug
Suchitepequez
3 : 2
Coban Imperial
22 Aug
Aurora F.C.
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 8 7 0 1 19:8 21
2 Municipal 9 6 2 1 13:5 20
3 Guastatoya 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
4 Deportivo San Pedro 9 5 2 2 12:7 17
5 Deportivo Mixco 9 5 0 4 16:15 15
6 Marquense 9 4 1 4 10:13 13
7 Xelaju 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
8 Aurora F.C. 9 3 0 6 13:16 9
9 Malacateco 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
10 Comunicaciones 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
11 Coban Imperial 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
12 Suchitepequez 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)