Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal vs Suchitepequez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mendez J.
18' Event
Barrientos R.
46'
Sub
Corena J. In: Artola C.
Out: Corena J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Municipal and Suchitepequez finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Municipal
30%
Draws
31%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Municipal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Municipal a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Suchitepequez
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Suchitepequez
3:0
Apr 22, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Municipal
0:0
Feb 25, 2018 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Nov 26, 2017 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Sep 24, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Municipal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barrientos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Suchitepequez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 67 / 100
Suchitepequez 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Suchitepequez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Municipal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS Suchitepequez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal

(Home)
01 Nov
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 0
Municipal
29 Oct
Municipal
3 : 1
Comunicaciones
24 Oct
Xelaju
1 : 0
Municipal
21 Oct
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 0
Municipal
19 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

Suchitepequez

(Away)
07 Nov
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Suchitepequez
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0
Malacateco
28 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
25 Oct
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)