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Xelaju vs Guastatoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xelaju host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Xelaju have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Guastatoya's 1.32 scored and 1.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Xelaju have won 2 to Guastatoya's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.06) back Xelaju to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Xelaju
30%
Draws
23%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xelaju lately — more wins on the board than Guastatoya.
  • Model gives Xelaju a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 20%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Guastatoya
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.56 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Xelaju
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Guastatoya
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Xelaju
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Xelaju
1:2
Aug 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Guastatoya
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 42 / 100
Guastatoya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xelaju scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Guastatoya let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Xelaju has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Guastatoya
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
08 Nov
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Xelaju
03 Nov
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
29 Oct
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 0
Xelaju
24 Oct
Xelaju
1 : 0
Municipal
20 Oct
Antigua
3 : 0
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

Guastatoya

(Away)
07 Nov
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Suchitepequez
02 Nov
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Coban Imperial
30 Oct
Marquense
0 : 0
Guastatoya
25 Oct
Guastatoya
1 : 3
Deportivo Mixco
19 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
3 Deportivo Mixco 19 9 4 6 32:27 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 18 8 1 9 28:28 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)