Sport Picks
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Abergavenny Town
Wales
Cymru South 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Abertillery Bluebirds and Abergavenny Town finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Abertillery Bluebirds carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Abertillery Bluebirds a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Abertillery Bluebirds | Abergavenny Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.75 | 3.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Abertillery Bluebirds Compare
Abergavenny Town Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Abertillery Bluebirds scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Abergavenny Town let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.
Abergavenny Town lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 87:39 | 71 |
| 2 | Llanelli | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 80:40 | 64 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 60:42 | 57 |
| 4 | Cambrian United | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:37 | 50 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 72:60 | 49 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 68:56 | 46 |
| 8 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 58:59 | 43 |
| 9 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 69:64 | 42 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:41 | 41 |
| 11 | Trefelin | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 47:63 | 38 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 13 | Taffs Well | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 44:49 | 32 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 52:70 | 32 |
| 15 | Abertillery Bluebirds | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 34:94 | 15 |
| 16 | Abergavenny Town | 30 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 20:84 | 8 |