Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Aberystwyth host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Aberystwyth have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.41 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberystwyth have won 0 to Caerau Ely's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 1.38) point toward Caerau Ely. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Aberystwyth.
- Model gives Aberystwyth a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberystwyth | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Aberystwyth stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Aberystwyth's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Caerau Ely let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home)Caerau Ely
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:25 | 2 |
