Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Cambrian United
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 Park Avenue, Aberystwyth 
Match Events
27'
27'
Woodford J.
37'
37'
Reid R.
90'
90'
Thomas F.
AI Match Summary
Cambrian United in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cambrian United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Aberystwyth haven't matched Cambrian United's recent run of results.
- Model gives Aberystwyth a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cambrian United have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 16%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberystwyth | Cambrian United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Aberystwyth
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Cambrian United
1:2
Aug 10, 2019 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Aberystwyth
3:4
Sep 25, 2018 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Aberystwyth
3:1
Sep 4, 2013 League Cup
Aberystwyth vs Cambrian United
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aberystwyth Compare
Top Goalscorer Reid R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Woodford J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bateman C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aberystwyth 48 / 100
Cambrian United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aberystwyth Cambrian United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Aberystwyth scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Aberystwyth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Cambrian United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Aberystwyth VS Cambrian United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home) 22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5 Aberystwyth
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0 Aberystwyth
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
28 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 1 Afan Lido
14 Mar
Aberystwyth
3 : 0 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 3
Cambrian United
(Away) 21 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Cambrian United
14 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Flint Town
07 Aug
Cambrian United
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
31 Jul
Barry Town
2 : 1 Cambrian United
10 Jul
Merthyr Town
4 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Cambrian United
31 Jul
Barry Town
2 : 1 Cambrian United
10 Jul
Merthyr Town
4 : 2 Cambrian United
18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3 Cambrian United
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
