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Vasco U20 vs Palmeiras U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Vasco U20 Logo

Vasco U20

0 - 1
FT
Palmeiras U20 Logo

Palmeiras U20

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Erick Bele
45'
Thiago Pimenta
46'
Sub
Gustavo Guimaraes In: Bruno Lopes
Out: Gustavo Guimaraes
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasco U20
20%
Draws
40%
Palmeiras U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmeiras U20 come out ahead of Vasco U20 on wins alone.
  • Palmeiras U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Palmeiras U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Palmeiras U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 21
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.96 2.48
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2
Aug 28, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Vasco U20
2:2
Jul 2, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:2
Aug 18, 2022 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Vasco U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Bele
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 11 / 100
Palmeiras U20 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Palmeiras U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Vasco U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Palmeiras U20 conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Palmeiras U20
3 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
16 Sept
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Naviraiense U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Corinthians U20 1
Bragantino U20 4
Athletico-PR U20 1
Vasco U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 2
Santos U20 4
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U20 5
Bragantino U20 3
Vasco U20 3
Santos U20 2
Final
Palmeiras U20 1
Vasco U20 2