Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction & H2H Stats
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia, Capiatá 
Match Events
1'
1'
Doldan J.
8'
8'
Melgarejo R.
45'
45'
Valdez I.
Assist: Benitez H. A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nacional Asuncion have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Asuncion taking it.
- Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion
0:3
Mar 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Oct 25, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Aug 21, 2020 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Valdez I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bailone I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 22 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Nacional Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Asuncion let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: San Lorenzo scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Nacional Asuncion
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Nacional Asuncion
(Away) 30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
18 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
0 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Guarani | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | 9 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
