Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 Park Avenue, Aberystwyth 
Match Events
11'
11'
Juliff P.
38'
38'
Jones L. R.
45'
45'
Bevan J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberystwyth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aberystwyth lately — more wins on the board than Llantwit Major.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Aberystwyth taking it.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Aberystwyth have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 17%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberystwyth | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major
5:1
Apr 4, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Aberystwyth
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aberystwyth Compare
Top Goalscorer Juliff P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Llantwit Major Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones L. R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bevan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aberystwyth 84 / 100
Llantwit Major 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aberystwyth Llantwit Major
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Llantwit Major conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Away concern: Llantwit Major has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Aberystwyth's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Aberystwyth VS Llantwit Major
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home) 22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5 Aberystwyth
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0 Aberystwyth
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
28 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 1 Afan Lido
14 Mar
Aberystwyth
3 : 0 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 3
Llantwit Major
(Away) 22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
20 Mar
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
10 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 3 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
