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Aberystwyth W vs Wrexham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hughes R.
36' Event
Jones L.
46' Event
Bartle J.

AI Match Summary

Wrexham W in this Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wrexham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aberystwyth W
15%
Draws
85%
Wrexham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aberystwyth W haven't matched Wrexham W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wrexham W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Wrexham W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%
Wrexham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth W Wrexham W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 21
Draws 2 1
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.28 3.57
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
4:0
Dec 7, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Wrexham W
0:5
Feb 2, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
7:1
Oct 6, 2024 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Wrexham W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberystwyth W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wrexham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barker K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hughes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth W 10 / 100
Wrexham W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth W Wrexham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Aberystwyth W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Wrexham W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth W VS Wrexham W
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth W

(Home)
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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Wrexham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wrexham W
2 : 3
TNS W
27 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff City W 14 11 2 1 53:13 35
2 Wrexham W 14 11 1 2 50:20 34
3 Swansea W 14 10 0 4 48:20 30
4 TNS W 14 7 2 5 34:22 23
5 Briton Ferry W 14 5 1 8 29:37 16
6 Aberystwyth W 14 4 1 9 17:34 13
7 Barry Town W 14 4 1 9 22:47 13
8 Pontypridd United W 14 0 0 14 11:71 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)