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Abha vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abha host Al Ittihad in the Saudi Professional League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Abha have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Al Ittihad's 1.84 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Ittihad slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2024, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.69) point toward Al Ittihad. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Abha
20%
Draws
70%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad come out ahead of Abha on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ittihad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Abha Clean Sheet 13%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Ittihad
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Ittihad
3:1
Nov 10, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Abha
4:2
May 8, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Abha
4:0
Dec 31, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Ittihad
1:2
Feb 6, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Ittihad
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 31 / 100
Al Ittihad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Abha's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Abha has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Ittihad
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad

(Away)
20 Oct
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 4
Al Ittihad
13 Oct
Al Ittihad
1 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2
Al Ittihad
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 10 8 1 1 24:9 25
2 Al Hilal 9 8 0 1 27:7 24
3 Al Nassr 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
4 Al Ittihad 9 6 2 1 18:10 20
5 Al Ahli SC 9 6 0 3 23:12 18
6 Neom SC 10 5 1 4 14:9 16
7 Al Diriyah 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
8 Al Ettifaq FC 10 4 3 3 14:16 15
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Khaleej 10 2 6 2 9:13 12
11 Al Hazem Rass 10 2 3 5 10:14 9
12 Al Riyadh 9 2 3 4 9:18 9
13 Al Shabab 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Al Faisaly 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
15 Al Fayha 10 1 4 5 10:17 7
16 Al Fateh 10 1 3 6 9:20 6
17 Al Taawon 10 0 4 6 4:17 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)