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Stadium Background

Abha vs Al Jabalain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Al Bukhari A.
6' Event
Cinari E.
12'
Sub
Abuyabes M. In: Al Fahad A.
Out: Abuyabes M.

AI Match Summary

Abha in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Abha
35%
Draws
53%
Al Jabalain
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Jabalain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Jabalain have won more games recently than Abha.
  • Al Jabalain are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Abha Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jabalain Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Jabalain
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Division 1
Abha vs Al Jabalain
3:1
Sep 16, 2025 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Abha
1:3
Apr 29, 2025 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Abha
3:1
Dec 18, 2024 Division 1
Abha vs Al Jabalain
1:1
Apr 10, 2019 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Abha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Jayzani F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghamdi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Al Jabalain Compare

Top Goalscorer Cinari E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 28 / 100
Al Jabalain 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Jabalain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Jabalain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abha's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Al Jabalain let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Abha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Jabalain
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

Al Jabalain

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Orubah
13 Sept
Hajer
0 : 1
Al Jabalain
07 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Wehda
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Al Jabalain
1 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)