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Abo IFK vs PEPO - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Play Offs Urheilupuiston Ylakentta, Turku
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. PEPO have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Abo IFK have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Abo IFK slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.63) point toward Abo IFK. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Abo IFK
30%
Draws
29%
PEPO
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Abo IFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Abo IFK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Abo IFK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Abo IFK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Abo IFK Clean Sheet 14%
PEPO Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abo IFK PEPO
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Kakkonen Play Offs
PEPO vs Abo IFK
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abo IFK 57 / 100
PEPO 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abo IFK PEPO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abo IFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Abo IFK scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

PEPO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Abo IFK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abo IFK VS PEPO
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Abo IFK

(Home)
02 Oct
PEPO
0 : 3
Abo IFK
19 Sept
Honka
3 : 0
Abo IFK
12 Sept
Abo IFK
3 : 1
HJS
06 Sept
Abo IFK
0 : 0
EPS
02 Sept
Pallo-Iirot
2 : 1
Abo IFK
Page 1 of 6

PEPO

(Away)
02 Oct
PEPO
0 : 3
Abo IFK
19 Sept
PEPO
3 : 4
Kiffen
12 Sept
HPS
1 : 1
PEPO
08 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
HIFK
03 Sept
Atlantis
0 : 0
PEPO
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Honka 0
JBK 0
Abo IFK 3
PEPO 0
Kiffen 2
GBK Kokkola 3
Huima / Urho 1
Ilves 2 3
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -