Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Absam vs SK St. Johann

Austria Austria

Tirol 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2010/2011 game between Absam and SK St. Johann finished 7-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Absam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Absam
35%
Draws
36%
SK St. Johann
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SK St. Johann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SK St. Johann come out ahead of Absam on wins alone.
  • Absam are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tirol 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Absam have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Absam Clean Sheet 12%
SK St. Johann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Absam SK St. Johann
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 12 23
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.97 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2012 Tirol
SK St. Johann vs Absam
0:4
Sep 24, 2011 Tirol
Absam vs SK St. Johann
3:0
May 7, 2011 Tirol
Absam vs SK St. Johann
7:3
Sep 18, 2010 Tirol
SK St. Johann vs Absam
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Absam 35 / 100
SK St. Johann 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Absam SK St. Johann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Absam remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Absam found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

SK St. Johann's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Absam VS SK St. Johann
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Absam

(Home)
26 Sept
Vols
2 : 3
Absam
19 Sept
Absam
3 : 3
Ebbs
13 Sept
FC Natters
2 : 2
Absam
05 Sept
Absam
0 : 0
Telfs
28 Aug
Stubai
1 : 3
Absam
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SK St. Johann

(Away)
26 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 1
SK St. Johann
19 Sept
SK St. Johann
3 : 1
Lochau
12 Sept
SC Imst
0 : 0
SK St. Johann
06 Sept
FC Wolfurt
0 : 1
SK St. Johann
28 Aug
SK St. Johann
2 : 1
Tirol (Am)
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