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Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petroleum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abu Qir Semad host Asyut Petroleum in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Abu Qir Semad at 0.79 goals for, 1 against; Asyut Petroleum at 1.18 for, 0.89 against. Head-to-head, Abu Qir Semad have won 2 to Asyut Petroleum's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.81 - 0.69) back Asyut Petroleum to edge this. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Abu Qir Semad
20%
Draws
32%
Asyut Petroleum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Abu Qir Semad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Asyut Petroleum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 28%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abu Qir Semad Asyut Petroleum
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.18
Goals Conceded 1 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2 A
Asyut Petroleum vs Abu Qir Semad
0:0
Apr 30, 2025 Division 2 A
Asyut Petroleum vs Abu Qir Semad
1:2
Dec 23, 2024 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petroleum
0:0
Feb 27, 2024 Division 2 A
Asyut Petroleum vs Abu Qir Semad
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abu Qir Semad 34 / 100
Asyut Petroleum 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abu Qir Semad Asyut Petroleum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asyut Petroleum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asyut Petroleum has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Asyut Petroleum's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Abu Qir Semad scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Abu Qir Semad VS Asyut Petroleum
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Abu Qir Semad

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
27 Aug
Pyramids
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
21 Aug
Abu Qir Semad
1 : 0
National Bank Egypt
Page 1 of 6

Asyut Petroleum

(Away)
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
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