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Abu Qir Semad vs Ceramica Cleopatra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Thu, Dec 3, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Abu Qir Semad have averaged 0.79 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Ceramica Cleopatra's 1.21 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Ceramica Cleopatra slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 23, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.19, favoring Ceramica Cleopatra. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Abu Qir Semad
15%
Draws
78%
Ceramica Cleopatra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceramica Cleopatra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceramica Cleopatra have won more games recently than Abu Qir Semad.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Ceramica Cleopatra taking it.
  • Ceramica Cleopatra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 20%
Ceramica Cleopatra Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abu Qir Semad Ceramica Cleopatra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Egypt Cup
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Abu Qir Semad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abu Qir Semad 10 / 100
Ceramica Cleopatra 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abu Qir Semad Ceramica Cleopatra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceramica Cleopatra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceramica Cleopatra has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Abu Qir Semad scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Abu Qir Semad went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abu Qir Semad VS Ceramica Cleopatra
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Abu Qir Semad

(Home)
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
27 Aug
Pyramids
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
Page 1 of 6

Ceramica Cleopatra

(Away)
07 Oct
Ceramica Cleopatra
0 : 1
Al Masry
14 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
Modern Sport
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)