Sport Picks

Nigeria

NNL 2017/2018

Kogi United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Abubakar Bukola Saraki play Kogi United in the NNL 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Abubakar Bukola Saraki averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1 conceded. Kogi United averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Abubakar Bukola Saraki won 2, Kogi United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Abubakar Bukola Saraki and 0.76 for Kogi United. This points to a Abubakar Bukola Saraki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Abubakar Bukola Saraki

15%

Draws

38%

Kogi United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abubakar Bukola Saraki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Abubakar Bukola Saraki picked up more points recently compared to Kogi United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Abubakar Bukola Saraki Clean Sheet 27%

Kogi United Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Abubakar Bukola Saraki	Kogi United
Matches Played	29	37
Wins	13	12
Draws	2	8
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	0.97	0.86
Goals Conceded	1	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 NNL

Kogi United vs Abubakar Bukola Saraki

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Apr 2, 2023 NNL

Abubakar Bukola Saraki vs Kogi United

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Oct 10, 2018 NNL

Abubakar Bukola Saraki vs Kogi United

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Jun 2, 2018 NNL

Kogi United vs Abubakar Bukola Saraki

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abubakar Bukola Saraki 48 / 100

Kogi United 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Abubakar Bukola Saraki Kogi United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Abubakar Bukola Saraki or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Abubakar Bukola Saraki attacking → ← attacking Kogi United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abubakar Bukola Saraki scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Kogi United let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Abubakar Bukola Saraki went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kogi United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 44

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25