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AC Chieri vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Andreis S.
65' Event
Ozara D.
76' Event
Andreis S.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AC Chieri
20%
Draws
47%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanremese have won more games recently than AC Chieri.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 19%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Sanremese
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 6 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Sanremese
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs AC Chieri
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Sanremese
0:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs AC Chieri
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Sanremese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozara D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreis S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 36 / 100
Sanremese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AC Chieri scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: AC Chieri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sanremese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 49% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanremese
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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Sanremese

(Away)
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)