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AC Connecticut vs Black Rock

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between AC Connecticut and Black Rock finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Black Rock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AC Connecticut
40%
Draws
29%
Black Rock
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Black Rock carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Black Rock here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AC Connecticut Clean Sheet 10%
Black Rock Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Connecticut Black Rock
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 1 10
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 USL League Two
Black Rock vs AC Connecticut
2:1
Jun 20, 2026 USL League Two
AC Connecticut vs Black Rock
1:2
Jul 9, 2025 USL League Two
AC Connecticut vs Black Rock
1:4
Jun 7, 2025 USL League Two
Black Rock vs AC Connecticut
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
Black Rock vs AC Connecticut
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Connecticut 30 / 100
Black Rock 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Connecticut Black Rock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Connecticut scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Black Rock let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

AC Connecticut has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Connecticut VS Black Rock
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Connecticut

(Home)
11 Jul
Seacoast United Phantoms
0 : 1
AC Connecticut
07 Jul
AC Connecticut
0 : 2
Western Pioneers
01 Jul
Connecticut Rush
0 : 2
AC Connecticut
26 Jun
Western Pioneers
1 : 0
AC Connecticut
23 Jun
Black Rock
2 : 1
AC Connecticut
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Black Rock

(Away)
11 Jul
Black Rock
1 : 1
Boston City
08 Jul
Black Rock
0 : 0
Boston Bolts
06 Jul
Black Rock
3 : 3
Seacoast United Phantoms
03 Jul
Western Pioneers
1 : 1
Black Rock
28 Jun
Seacoast United Phantoms
1 : 3
Black Rock
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