Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Leon vs Piacenza

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mustacchio M.
57' Event
Bonseri M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between AC Leon and Piacenza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AC Leon
35%
Draws
38%
Piacenza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • AC Leon haven't matched Piacenza's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 13%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Leon Piacenza
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 20
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Piacenza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonseri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustacchio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Leon 30 / 100
Piacenza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Leon Piacenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: AC Leon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

AC Leon found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Piacenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

AC Leon VS Piacenza
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Leon

(Home)
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
Page 1 of 6

Piacenza

(Away)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 4 4 0 0 5:1 12
3 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Virtus Verona 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
5 Piacenza 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 AC Leon 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
7 Brusaporto 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
8 Pro Palazzolo 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
9 Real Calepina 4 1 2 1 8:6 5
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
11 Caldiero Terme 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 Scanzorosciate 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
13 Pavonese 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Villa Valle 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
15 Club Milano 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
16 Rovato Vertovese 4 0 2 2 6:9 2
17 Tritium 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 Fiorenzuola 4 0 0 4 0:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)