Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Leon vs Sondrio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Vasil M.
26' Event
Gervasoni M.
45' Event
Bonseri M.

AI Match Summary

AC Leon in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
AC Leon
30%
Draws
54%
Sondrio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sondrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / High Confidence
  • AC Leon have won more games recently than Sondrio.
  • Model gives Sondrio a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 17%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Leon Sondrio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Sondrio
4:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs AC Leon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonseri M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gervasoni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sondrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasil M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Leon 23 / 100
Sondrio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Leon Sondrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sondrio has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AC Leon scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

AC Leon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Leon VS Sondrio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Leon

(Home)
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0
AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0
AC Leon
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
AC Leon
12 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 0
AC Leon
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Sondrio

(Away)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)