Sport Picks
AC Leon vs Villa Valle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 
Match Events
14'
14'
Siani G.
27'
27'
Bonseri M.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Rinaldi M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B game between AC Leon and Villa Valle finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Valle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AC Leon come out ahead of Villa Valle on wins alone.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Villa Valle here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Leon | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Villa Valle
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Villa Valle
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Leon
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Leon
5:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Villa Valle
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Leon Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Siani G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rinaldi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Leon 41 / 100
Villa Valle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Leon Villa Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AC Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AC Leon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Villa Valle has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: AC Leon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AC Leon VS Villa Valle
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Leon
(Home) 07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2 AC Leon
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2 AC Leon
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1 Piacenza
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1 Piacenza
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2 Chievo
02 Apr
AC Leon
3 : 1 Pavia
Page 1 of 3
Villa Valle
(Away) 07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1 Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Piacenza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Pro Palazzolo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 6 | AC Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Caldiero Terme | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 8 | AC Milan U23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Pavonese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Club Milano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Tritium | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)
