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AC Libertas vs Folgore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Libertas host Folgore in the Campionato Sammarinese. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AC Libertas have averaged 1 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Folgore's 2.07 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, AC Libertas have won 0 to Folgore's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.75, favoring Folgore. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AC Libertas
20%
Draws
60%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Folgore have won more games recently than AC Libertas.
  • Model gives Folgore a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Folgore have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Libertas Folgore
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Folgore
0:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Folgore
2:4
Nov 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs AC Libertas
6:1
Apr 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs AC Libertas
3:0
Dec 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Folgore
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Libertas 10 / 100
Folgore 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Libertas Folgore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

AC Libertas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Folgore has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

AC Libertas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Libertas VS Folgore
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Libertas

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
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Folgore

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)