Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Libertas vs Virtus

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano 2025/2026
AC Libertas Logo

AC Libertas

1 - 3
FT
Virtus Logo

Virtus

Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Zenoni M.
61' Event
Benincasa S.
67' Event
Capicchioni G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Virtus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
AC Libertas
30%
Draws
51%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Virtus come out ahead of AC Libertas on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Virtus taking it.
  • Virtus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Virtus here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Libertas Virtus
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 21
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 2.06
Goals Conceded 2 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 2.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs AC Libertas
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Virtus
0:9
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:1
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Virtus
1:3
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Libertas Compare

Top Goalscorer Quarta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenoni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benincasa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Libertas 10 / 100
Virtus 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Libertas Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

AC Libertas scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: AC Libertas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Virtus has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Libertas VS Virtus
0.57 Goals Scored 3
2.29 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Libertas

(Home)
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6

Virtus

(Away)
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Cailungo 2
AC Libertas 3
San Giovanni 3
SP Cosmos 4
Tre Fiori 4
SS Pennarossa 1
Tre Penne 5
SP Domagnano 2
Fiorentino 2
Juvenes/Dogana 5
SS Murata 3
SC Faetano 1
Folgore 0
La Fiorita 1
Quarter-finals
Virtus 6
AC Libertas 1
SP Cosmos 1
Tre Fiori 7
Tre Penne 1
Juvenes/Dogana 2
SS Murata 2
La Fiorita 4
Semi-finals
Virtus 0
Tre Fiori 1
Juvenes/Dogana 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Tre Fiori 1
La Fiorita 3