Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Libertas vs Virtus

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Own Goal
9' Event
Zenoni M.
36' Event
Buonocunto I.

AI Match Summary

Virtus in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AC Libertas
15%
Draws
51%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Virtus have won more games recently than AC Libertas.
  • Win probability leans Virtus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Virtus here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Libertas Virtus
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 21
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.07 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 2.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Virtus
0:9
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:1
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Virtus
1:3
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Virtus
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Libertas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenoni M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Scappini S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Libertas 10 / 100
Virtus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Libertas Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

AC Libertas found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Virtus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Virtus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Libertas VS Virtus
0.57 Goals Scored 3.38
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Libertas

(Home)
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1
AC Libertas
26 Apr
AC Libertas
0 : 9
Virtus
19 Apr
AC Libertas
1 : 3
Tre Penne
12 Apr
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
AC Libertas
08 Apr
AC Libertas
1 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
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Virtus

(Away)
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Virtus
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3
Vardar
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1
La Fiorita
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1
Virtus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)