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AC Malcantone vs Moutier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Stjepanovic D.
37' Event
Nouicer S.
88'
Shala S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Moutier advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AC Malcantone
15%
Draws
85%
Moutier
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moutier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Malcantone come out ahead of Moutier on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • AC Malcantone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Moutier, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AC Malcantone Clean Sheet 12%
Moutier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Malcantone Moutier
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2018 Swiss Cup
AC Malcantone vs Moutier
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Malcantone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Moutier Compare

Top Goalscorer Stjepanovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nouicer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Malcantone 35 / 100
Moutier 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Malcantone Moutier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moutier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moutier let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

AC Malcantone found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Moutier lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Malcantone VS Moutier
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Malcantone

(Home)
18 Aug
AC Malcantone
0 : 4
St. Gallen
19 Aug
AC Malcantone
1 : 2
Tuggen
18 Feb
AC Malcantone
0 : 1
Mendrisio
18 Aug
AC Malcantone
0 : 2
Moutier
16 Sept
AC Malcantone
0 : 4
Wohlen
Page 1 of 6

Moutier

(Away)
09 Mar
Helsingborg
2 : 0
Moutier
16 Sept
Moutier
1 : 3
Thun
18 Aug
AC Malcantone
0 : 2
Moutier
13 Aug
Moutier
0 : 3
Lugano
15 Sept
Moutier
0 : 4
Grenchen
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Luzern 9
Gland 1
Meilen 0
Servette 6
Klingnau 7
Bramois 0
Bellach 0
Chiasso 7
Stade Nyonnais 2
Solothurn 0
Buochs 0
Grasshoppers 2
Schaffhausen 5
Freienbach 0
Biel 2
Young Boys 3
Lugano 4
Dietikon 0
Erde 1
Azzurri Lausanne 5
Aarau 2
FC Amriswil 1
Yverdon 0
Xamax 1
Wil 3
Uzwil 0
Portalban 3
Wohlen 4
Moutier 2
AC Malcantone 0
Veyrier-Sports 1
Thun 5
Zurich 6
Concordia 0
FC Willisau 1
Breitenrain 3
Cham 6
Meyrin 1
Zug 1
Red Star Zurich 2
Rapperswil-Jona 5
Frauenfeld 0
Goldau 1
Bavois 3
Fleurier 3
Nidau 1
Langnau 0
Kriens 6
Sion 3
Koniz 0
Kosova 0
Lausanne 4
Muri 5
Grand-Saconnex 3
Ueberstorf 0
St. Gallen 6
Winterthur 3
Greifensee 0
Young Fellows Juventus 0
Bellinzona 4
Echallens 4
AS Novazzano 0
Montlingen 0
Basel 3
1/16-finals
Luzern 4
Servette 3
Klingnau 0
Chiasso 2
Stade Nyonnais 3
Grasshoppers 1
Schaffhausen 2
Young Boys 3
Lugano 1
Azzurri Lausanne 0
Aarau 1
Xamax 2
Wil 1
Wohlen 0
Moutier 1
Thun 3
Zurich 4
Breitenrain 2
Cham 0
Red Star Zurich 1
Rapperswil-Jona 3
Bavois 2
Fleurier 1
Kriens 4
Sion 1
Lausanne 0
Muri 0
St. Gallen 7
Winterthur 2
Bellinzona 1
Echallens 2
Basel 7
1/8-finals
Luzern 2
Chiasso 0
Stade Nyonnais 0
Young Boys 1
Lugano 3
Xamax 1
Wil 1
Thun 2
Zurich 3
Red Star Zurich 2
Rapperswil-Jona 1
Kriens 4
Sion 2
St. Gallen 1
Winterthur 0
Basel 1
Quarter-finals
Luzern 4
Young Boys 0
Lugano 2
Thun 3
Zurich 2
Kriens 1
Sion 2
Basel 4
Semi-finals
Luzern 0
Thun 1
Zurich 1
Basel 3
Final
Thun 1
Basel 2