Sport Picks
AC Milan U23 vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Felice Chinetti, Solbiate Arno 
Match Events
38'
38'
Biondini G.
59'
59'
Vladimirov V.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between AC Milan U23 and Folgore Caratese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Milan U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- AC Milan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives AC Milan U23 a 56% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Milan U23 | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs AC Milan U23
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Milan U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Vladimirov V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Biondini G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Milan U23 50 / 100
Folgore Caratese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Milan U23 Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AC Milan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AC Milan U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Folgore Caratese let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: AC Milan U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AC Milan U23 VS Folgore Caratese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Milan U23
(Home) 20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
19 Apr
AC Milan U23
0 : 1 Varesina
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
