Sport Picks
AC Milan U23 vs Villa Valle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Felice Chinetti, Solbiate Arno 
Match Events
60'
60'
Own Goal
87'
87'
Sardo J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between AC Milan U23 and Villa Valle finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Milan U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- AC Milan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on AC Milan U23 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Milan U23 | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Milan U23
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Villa Valle
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Milan U23
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Milan U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sardo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Villa Valle Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Milan U23 41 / 100
Villa Valle 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Milan U23 Villa Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AC Milan U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Villa Valle let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: AC Milan U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AC Milan U23 VS Villa Valle
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Milan U23
(Home) 20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
19 Apr
AC Milan U23
0 : 1 Varesina
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
Villa Valle
(Away) 07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1 Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
