Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Pavlovic S.
16'
16'
Lukebakio D.
Assist: Kaminski J.
26'
26'
El Karouani S.
AI Match Summary
Benfica in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Benfica have won more games recently than AC Milan.
- Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Milan | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Europa League
AC Milan vs Benfica
0:2
Jul 28, 2019 International Champions Cup
AC Milan vs Benfica
0:1
Aug 8, 2009 Club Friendly
Benfica vs AC Milan
2:1
Nov 28, 2007 Champions League
Benfica vs AC Milan
1:1
Sep 18, 2007 Champions League
AC Milan vs Benfica
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Milan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Lukebakio D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaminski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Milan 10 / 100
Benfica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Milan Benfica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AC Milan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
AC Milan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AC Milan VS Benfica
1.5 Goals Scored 3.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Milan
(Home) 16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2 AC Milan
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1 AC Milan
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0 Venezia
23 Aug
Torino
1 : 2 AC Milan
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16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0 Venezia
05 Aug
AC Milan
1 : 1 Inter
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2 Cagliari
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3 Atalanta
Page 1 of 3
Benfica
(Away) 16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
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16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
27 Aug
Aarhus
1 : 3 Benfica
17 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 7 Benfica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 | Din. Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 | H. Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
