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AC Milan vs Udinese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro), Milan
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Leao R.
27' Event
Bartesaghi D.
Own Goal
37' Event
Ekkelenkamp J.
Assist: Zaniolo N.

AI Match Summary

Udinese in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Udinese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AC Milan
30%
Draws
23%
Udinese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Milan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Milan lately — more wins on the board than Udinese.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on AC Milan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AC Milan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 16%
Udinese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan Udinese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie A
AC Milan vs Udinese
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs AC Milan
0:3
Apr 11, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs AC Milan
0:4
Oct 19, 2024 Serie A
AC Milan vs Udinese
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs AC Milan
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Milan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekkelenkamp J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan 75 / 100
Udinese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan Udinese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: AC Milan scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Udinese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

AC Milan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan VS Udinese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Milan

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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Udinese

(Away)
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
14 Sept
Inter
5 : 3
Udinese
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)