Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs HJK

Finland Finland

Liiga Cup Heinäpään halli, Oulu
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ylitolva M.
45'
Kirilov M.
57'
Sub
Borchers M. In: Pukki T.
Out: Borchers M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AC Oulu
30%
Draws
47%
HJK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than AC Oulu.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • HJK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor HJK, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 20%
HJK Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu HJK
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs HJK
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liiga Cup
AC Oulu vs HJK
2:1
Aug 21, 2025 Suomen Cup
HJK vs AC Oulu
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghezali L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korkko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 36 / 100
HJK 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu HJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: HJK conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AC Oulu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS HJK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6

HJK

(Away)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Inter Turku 3
Ilves 2
AC Oulu 2
HJK 1
Final
Inter Turku 2
AC Oulu 1