Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs HJK

Finland Finland

Liiga Cup Heinäpään halli, Oulu
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ylitolva M.
45'
Kirilov M.
57'
Sub
Borchers M. In: Pukki T.
Out: Borchers M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AC Oulu
30%
Draws
47%
HJK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than AC Oulu.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on HJK taking it.
  • HJK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor HJK, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 10%
HJK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu HJK
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liiga Cup
AC Oulu vs HJK
2:1
Aug 21, 2025 Suomen Cup
HJK vs AC Oulu
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
3:1
Jun 14, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs HJK
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghezali L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korkko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 26 / 100
HJK 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu HJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: HJK conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: AC Oulu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS HJK
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
11 Jul
TPS
3 : 0
AC Oulu
27 Jun
AC Oulu
1 : 1
Lahti
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HJK

(Away)
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1
Motherwell
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0
HJK
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0
TPS
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Inter Turku 3
Ilves 2
AC Oulu 2
HJK 1
Final
Inter Turku 2
AC Oulu 1