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AC Parceiro Nagano W vs Beleza W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Own Goal
17' Event
Kawafune A.
28' Event
Kanno O.

AI Match Summary

Beleza W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AC Parceiro Nagano W
6%
Draws
90%
Beleza W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Beleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Beleza W have won more games recently than AC Parceiro Nagano W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Beleza W taking it.
  • Beleza W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Beleza W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Beleza W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AC Parceiro Nagano W Clean Sheet 10%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Parceiro Nagano W Beleza W
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 25
Draws 4 3
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 1 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 WE League Cup Women
AC Parceiro Nagano W vs Beleza W
3:4
Dec 20, 2025 WE League Women
AC Parceiro Nagano W vs Beleza W
2:3
Nov 30, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Beleza W vs AC Parceiro Nagano W
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 WE League Women
Beleza W vs AC Parceiro Nagano W
6:1
Mar 2, 2025 WE League Women
AC Parceiro Nagano W vs Beleza W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Parceiro Nagano W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawafune A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matsuura M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Beleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobayashi R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kanno O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Parceiro Nagano W 10 / 100
Beleza W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Parceiro Nagano W Beleza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Beleza W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 39 outings.

Difficult form: Beleza W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

AC Parceiro Nagano W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Parceiro Nagano W VS Beleza W
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Parceiro Nagano W

(Home)
16 May
C-Osaka W
1 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
10 May
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 1
Mynavi Sendai W
03 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
5 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
25 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
1 : 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
04 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
Page 1 of 6

Beleza W

(Away)
23 May
Beleza W
0 : 1
Naegohyang W
20 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 3
Beleza W
16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
10 May
Urawa W
1 : 0
Beleza W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Beleza W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija W640217:714
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima W650112:613
3Inac Kobe Leonesa W62048:136
4Saitama W61055:163
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beleza W640210:714
2Mynavi Sendai W64025:312
3JEF United W64025:310
4AC Parceiro Nagano W60065:120
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1C-Osaka W64027:612
2Urawa W640213:1011
3Albirex Niigata W62047:87
4Nojima Stella W62048:116
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams