Sport Picks
A.C. Savoia vs AS Acireale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Gagliardi M.
11'
11'
Caballero J.
37'
37'
Favetta C.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between A.C. Savoia and AS Acireale finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: A.C. Savoia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and A.C. Savoia come out ahead of AS Acireale on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 68%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A.C. Savoia | AS Acireale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs AS Acireale
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs A.C. Savoia
1:1
May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs A.C. Savoia
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs AS Acireale
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C. Savoia Compare
Top Goalscorer Caballero J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Favetta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
AS Acireale Compare
Top Goalscorer Gagliardi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C. Savoia 41 / 100
AS Acireale 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C. Savoia AS Acireale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick A.C. Savoia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A.C. Savoia's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
AS Acireale let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: A.C. Savoia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
A.C. Savoia VS AS Acireale
2 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
A.C. Savoia
(Home) 03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2 A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4 Scafatese
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0 Sancataldese
Page 1 of 3
AS Acireale
(Away) 10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0 USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0 Nissa
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
02 Apr
Castrumfavara
1 : 1 AS Acireale
21 Mar
Reggina
0 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
