Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Mancino A.
48'
48'
Calvino Valentino F.
90'
90'
Munoz D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with A.C. Savoia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paganese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Paganese have managed 1.36 goals a game lately — A.C. Savoia are scoring more at 1.8.
- Paganese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor A.C. Savoia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 13%
Paganese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A.C. Savoia | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
A.C. Savoia vs Paganese
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Paganese vs A.C. Savoia
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group G
A.C. Savoia vs Paganese
2:0
Mar 21, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Paganese vs A.C. Savoia
2:2
Nov 9, 2014 Serie C - Group C
A.C. Savoia vs Paganese
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C. Savoia Compare
Top Goalscorer Calvino Valentino F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Paganese Compare
Top Goalscorer Mancino A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C. Savoia 27 / 100
Paganese 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C. Savoia Paganese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paganese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A.C. Savoia found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Paganese let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: A.C. Savoia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
A.C. Savoia VS Paganese
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
A.C. Savoia
(Home) 26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2 A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4 Scafatese
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0 Sancataldese
Page 1 of 3
Paganese
(Away) 27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6 Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3 Paganese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1 Unipomezia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6 Paganese
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3 Paganese
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1 Paganese
10 May
Citta di Fasano
1 : 2 Paganese
03 May
Citta di Fasano
6 : 0 Paganese
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
