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A.C. Savoia vs Sambiase - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Umbaca F.
32' Event
Cosmano G.
(Penalty)
82' Event
Guida M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between A.C. Savoia and Sambiase finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C. Savoia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
A.C. Savoia
35%
Draws
46%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C. Savoia come out ahead of Sambiase on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sambiase a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 17%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C. Savoia Sambiase
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs Sambiase
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs A.C. Savoia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Umbaca F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sambiase Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C. Savoia 23 / 100
Sambiase 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C. Savoia Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C. Savoia's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sambiase has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: A.C. Savoia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

A.C. Savoia VS Sambiase
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C. Savoia

(Home)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

Sambiase

(Away)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)