The Serie D - Group A game between A.C. Savoia and Scafatese finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scafatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
A.C. Savoia
15%
Draws
45%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 15%Favored: Scafatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
Scafatese carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)74.6%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet13%
Scafatese Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
A.C. Savoia
Scafatese
Matches Played
29
33
Wins
17
25
Draws
5
6
Losses
7
2
Goals Scored
1.86
2.25
Goals Conceded
1.14
1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.14
1.00
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026Serie D - Group A
A.C. SavoiavsScafatese
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C. Savoia Compare
Top GoalscorerFavetta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.43
Avg xA / game0.93
Scafatese Compare
Top GoalscorerVolpicelli E.
2 Goals
Assists LeaderConvitto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game2.05
Avg xA / game1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C. Savoia31 / 100
Scafatese29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C. Savoia Scafatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickSCA Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: A.C. Savoia scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
A.C. Savoia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Scafatese conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.