The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between A.C. Savoia and Scafatese finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scafatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
A.C. Savoia
35%
Draws
45%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 35%Favored: Scafatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
Scafatese carry the better recent record into this one.
45% — that's where the model lands on Scafatese taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals99%
Over 1.5 Goals88%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals25%
Over 4.5 Goals11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)76.6%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet17%
Scafatese Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
A.C. Savoia
Scafatese
Matches Played
31
29
Wins
16
18
Draws
9
7
Losses
6
4
Goals Scored
1.77
2.07
Goals Conceded
1.06
1.03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026Serie D - Group A
A.C. SavoiavsScafatese
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C. Savoia Compare
Top GoalscorerFavetta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.15
Avg xA / game0.75
Scafatese Compare
Top GoalscorerVolpicelli E.
2 Goals
Assists LeaderConvitto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.25
Avg xA / game0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C. Savoia28 / 100
Scafatese38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C. Savoia Scafatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickScafatese Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: A.C. Savoia scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Scafatese has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: A.C. Savoia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
A.C. Savoia VS Scafatese
1.5Goals Scored1.38
1.38Goals Conceded1.5
88%Over 1.588%
50%Over 2.563%
25%Over 3.525%
Recent Form & Match History
A.C. Savoia
(Home)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2
Casertana
23 Aug
Picerno
3 : 2
A.C. Savoia
14 Aug
Casertana
1 : 2
A.C. Savoia
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4
Scafatese
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Athletic Palermo
1 : 3
A.C. Savoia
19 Apr
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Igea Virtus
12 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Apr
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0
ACR Messina
29 Mar
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0
USD Ragusa
22 Mar
Milazzo
1 : 0
A.C. Savoia
15 Mar
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Gelbison
01 Mar
Vibonese
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
22 Feb
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Nissa
15 Feb
Castrumfavara
1 : 3
A.C. Savoia
08 Feb
A.C. Savoia
2 : 1
Sambiase
01 Feb
Reggina
1 : 1
A.C. Savoia
25 Jan
A.C. Savoia
2 : 2
Enna
18 Jan
Paterno
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
11 Jan
A.C. Savoia
2 : 2
AS Acireale
04 Jan
Gela
1 : 2
A.C. Savoia
14 Dec
A.C. Savoia
3 : 1
Athletic Palermo
30 Nov
A.C. Savoia
2 : 1
Lamezia
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2
Casertana
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4
Scafatese
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
19 Apr
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Igea Virtus
02 Apr
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0
ACR Messina
29 Mar
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0
USD Ragusa
15 Mar
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Gelbison
22 Feb
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Nissa
08 Feb
A.C. Savoia
2 : 1
Sambiase
25 Jan
A.C. Savoia
2 : 2
Enna
11 Jan
A.C. Savoia
2 : 2
AS Acireale
14 Dec
A.C. Savoia
3 : 1
Athletic Palermo
30 Nov
A.C. Savoia
2 : 1
Lamezia
Page 1 of 3
Scafatese
(Away)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
28 Aug
Scafatese
0 : 2
Picerno
21 Aug
Giugliano
3 : 3
Scafatese
15 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2
Scafatese
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4
Scafatese
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
31 May
Scafatese
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
24 May
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1
Scafatese
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4
Scafatese
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4
Scafatese
26 Apr
Scafatese
1 : 0
Palmese 1914
19 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1
Scafatese
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1
Olbia
02 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 2
Scafatese
29 Mar
Ischia
0 : 2
Scafatese
22 Mar
Scafatese
4 : 2
Monastir
15 Mar
Latte Dolce
0 : 2
Scafatese
01 Mar
Scafatese
2 : 1
Flaminia
22 Feb
Valmontone
0 : 2
Scafatese
15 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
08 Feb
Real Monterotondo
0 : 1
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
21 Aug
Giugliano
3 : 3
Scafatese
15 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2
Scafatese
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4
Scafatese
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
24 May
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1
Scafatese
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4
Scafatese
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4
Scafatese
19 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1
Scafatese
02 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 2
Scafatese
29 Mar
Ischia
0 : 2
Scafatese
15 Mar
Latte Dolce
0 : 2
Scafatese
22 Feb
Valmontone
0 : 2
Scafatese
08 Feb
Real Monterotondo
0 : 1
Scafatese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 9)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 10)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 11)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 12)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 13)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 14)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 15)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 16)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 17)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 18)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 19)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 20)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 21)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 22)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 23)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 24)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 25)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 26)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 27)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 28)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 29)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 30)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)