Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A.C. Savoia vs Scafatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Convitto R.
17' Event
Favetta C.
72' Event
Maggio D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between A.C. Savoia and Scafatese finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
A.C. Savoia
35%
Draws
45%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Scafatese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Scafatese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 17%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C. Savoia Scafatese
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.77 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A
A.C. Savoia vs Scafatese
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Favetta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Volpicelli E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Convitto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C. Savoia 28 / 100
Scafatese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C. Savoia Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scafatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: A.C. Savoia scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Scafatese has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: A.C. Savoia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

A.C. Savoia VS Scafatese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C. Savoia

(Home)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 7

Scafatese

(Away)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 18)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 19)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 20)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 21)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 22)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 23)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 24)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 25)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 26)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 27)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 28)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 29)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 30)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams