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Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Carabobo
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
De Santis J.
41' Event
Castillo J.
Assist: Isah M.
46'
Sub
Rosales R. In: Rodriguez D.
Out: Rosales R.

AI Match Summary

Academia Puerto Cabello in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academia Puerto Cabello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Academia Puerto Cabello
35%
Draws
35%
Caracas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Academia Puerto Cabello have won more games recently than Caracas.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Academia Puerto Cabello taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 68%
Caracas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Puerto Cabello Caracas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:0
Sep 4, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponce A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarreal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia Puerto Cabello 50 / 100
Caracas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Puerto Cabello Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academia Puerto Cabello Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Academia Puerto Cabello scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Caracas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Academia Puerto Cabello went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Academia Puerto Cabello VS Caracas
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia Puerto Cabello

(Home)
19 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
2 : 1
Portuguesa
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6

Caracas

(Away)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)